Consequences of Demographic Change
Start date: Jul 1, 2008,
End date: Jun 30, 2013
The project will be using the Gender and Generations Surveys (GGS) – a system of comparable micro-level surveys for several Developed countries – to analyse the consequences of demographic change. The analysis will be using households and individuals as the unit of observation. As a result, we will be able to make inferences about how certain demographic behaviours (i.e. childbearing, marital disruption, single motherhood, leaving home), including their timing and sequencing, affect certain outcomes, such as income, poverty, deprivation, together with various child outcomes. This analysis is particularly relevant given recent demographic trends in developed countries (e.g. divorce rates are increasing, out-of-wedlock childbearing is becoming more prevalent, and general delay in key demographic events such as childbearing and leaving the parental home). The novelty of the study is driven by its focus on consequences of newly emerging demographic patterns and behaviour, which is in contrast to the majority of previous demographic studies – which has tended to focus on the determinants behind these trends. Policy analysis has not had a strong tradition in Demography and the aim of this project is to rectify this shortcoming of the discipline. By focusing on the consequences of demographic change and using techniques that are borrowed from program evaluation, econometrics, applied statistics and empirical sociology, we aim to advance the understanding of how demographic events impact other important processes in the life course of individuals and how policy makers can best influence such outcomes by appropriate policy interventions.
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