Complex Research of Earthquake’s Prediction Possib.. (BlackSeaHazNet)
Complex Research of Earthquake’s Prediction Possibilities, Seismicity and Climate Change Correlations
Start date: Jan 1, 2011,
End date: Dec 31, 2013
The purpose of project BlackSeaHazNet is development of long-term research cooperation through coordinated joint program of researcher’s exchange. The base is Complex Program for research of possibility for forecast earthquake’s time, place (epicenter, depth), magnitude and intensity using reliable precursors. Precursors research includes regional geophysical and seismological monitoring, monitoring of water sources and their Radon, Helium, Mercury concentrations, crust temperature, monitoring of electromagnetic field under, on, and above Earth surface, meteorological monitoring, including earthquake clouds and electrical charge distributions, near space monitoring, aimed to estimate Earth, Sun and space (cosmic rays) origins of variations, and biological precursors. For many variables well working monitoring exists (for example INTERMAGNET geomagnetic field monitoring). For others (for example: monitoring of Earth currents distribution) monitoring have to be created. Due to complex real time variables monitoring the parallel output of the Program can be different time scale estimations for other natural hazards and risk assessment, as well as the correlations between human behavior and electromagnetic and other geophysical variables variations. Proposed regional network can be considered as first step for creating wide interdisciplinary scientific consortia for formulation of more adequate models of today Climate change, Earth seismic processes as well as different time scales regional earthquakes forecasts. Which will the bases for future EC framework , regional and bilateral Projects. The scientific and practical results will be considered in workshops and regional training seminars.
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