The current time period is characterised by rapid changes in many domains – geopolitical, economic, environmental and technological – which have huge effects on the global security situation. For the EU and for EU Member States it is therefore essential to continuously perform strategic technology foresight analyses so as to gain understanding of important trends and their defence and security implications. Essential parts of strategic technology foresight analysis are Horizon Scanning and Technology Watch (HS&TW): the signalling of emerging threats, the identification of emerging technologies and potential opportunities combined with a broad analysis of relevant technological developments. Performing a strategic technology foresight is challenging, not only because it is an activity aimed at a “moving target”, but also because it is not easy to identify and track the wide range of relevant technologies to be addressed in view of:
This action should aim to support strategic technology foresight in the defence domain of individual Member States and of the EU as a whole by performing joint technology foresight activities supported by methodologies such as horizon scanning, technology watch, scientometric tools, expert consultation activities. The action should focus in particular on identifying emerging defence research areas for potential exploration in the next Multi-annual Financial Framework. The action should propose and validate a methodology and process for strategic technology foresight activities to be carried out cyclically. Such a methodology should take into account similar activities conducted in EDA, NATO and other military and/or civil organisations. Activities that should be considered could include, amongst others:
The strategic technology foresight should be coupled to a process and method for scoping EU-funded defence research based on scenarios to illustrate potential future conflicts.
Proposals should include elements to ensure continued monitoring and updating beyond the action's lifetime.
The European Commission considers that proposals requesting a contribution from the EU in the range of EUR 0.8 to 1.0 million would allow this specific challenge to be addressed appropriately. Nonetheless, this does not preclude submission and selection of proposals requesting other amounts.
No more than one action will be funded.
The action should allow to